mean sd hpd_3% hpd_97% mcse_mean mcse_sd ess_mean ess_sd ess_bulk ess_tail r_hat
tau 65.039 23.259 26.814 108.761 0.787 0.557 872.0 872.0 707.0 765.0 1.03
initial_cases[0] 99.807 50.092 15.689 189.582 1.370 0.969 1336.0 1336.0 809.0 683.0 1.03
initial_cases[1] 105.279 53.883 18.242 199.864 1.732 1.225 968.0 968.0 641.0 1132.0 1.04
initial_cases[2] 63.621 34.457 11.055 126.488 0.768 0.543 2013.0 2013.0 1573.0 1120.0 1.02
initial_cases[3] 44.506 21.851 11.258 85.150 0.741 0.524 868.0 868.0 770.0 1837.0 1.03
initial_cases[4] 42.208 24.220 5.624 84.947 0.760 0.538 1015.0 1015.0 668.0 1143.0 1.03
initial_cases[5] 60.160 26.771 15.874 107.703 0.922 0.652 844.0 844.0 662.0 1509.0 1.04
initial_cases[6] 41.959 29.708 5.255 93.510 0.599 0.439 2460.0 2285.0 2342.0 2818.0 1.01
initial_cases[7] 122.022 70.254 21.910 254.034 3.118 2.206 508.0 508.0 475.0 1479.0 1.05
initial_cases[8] 33.892 20.355 4.923 70.586 0.536 0.379 1443.0 1443.0 771.0 1581.0 1.03
initial_cases[9] 36.607 21.015 4.098 72.495 0.489 0.346 1843.0 1843.0 1119.0 2092.0 1.02
initial_cases[10] 81.963 38.106 19.723 150.441 1.147 0.811 1104.0 1104.0 694.0 726.0 1.03
psi 5.064 0.892 3.488 6.787 0.017 0.012 2885.0 2814.0 3022.0 3699.0 1.01
kappa 0.568 0.265 0.080 1.048 0.015 0.011 293.0 293.0 303.0 506.0 1.07
mu[0] 3.567 0.564 2.594 4.645 0.027 0.020 434.0 384.0 611.0 660.0 1.04
mu[1] 3.761 0.532 2.899 4.769 0.028 0.021 354.0 327.0 454.0 550.0 1.05
mu[2] 3.389 0.510 2.490 4.445 0.016 0.012 1065.0 936.0 1336.0 990.0 1.02
mu[3] 3.725 0.334 3.106 4.318 0.013 0.009 675.0 669.0 698.0 1486.0 1.04
mu[4] 3.806 0.527 2.948 4.803 0.026 0.019 403.0 387.0 482.0 788.0 1.04
mu[5] 3.445 0.273 2.951 3.962 0.012 0.009 503.0 496.0 543.0 1176.0 1.04
mu[6] 3.218 0.554 2.135 4.284 0.013 0.009 1861.0 1761.0 2005.0 2123.0 1.02
mu[7] 4.172 0.477 3.287 5.020 0.023 0.016 419.0 419.0 413.0 1258.0 1.05
mu[8] 3.574 0.496 2.739 4.580 0.020 0.015 601.0 561.0 741.0 1046.0 1.03
mu[9] 3.541 0.461 2.792 4.479 0.019 0.014 580.0 551.0 712.0 1409.0 1.03
mu[10] 3.513 0.345 2.931 4.169 0.015 0.011 525.0 482.0 669.0 729.0 1.03
alpha[0] 0.175 0.235 0.000 0.636 0.010 0.007 525.0 525.0 781.0 1100.0 1.04
alpha[1] 0.015 0.035 0.000 0.073 0.001 0.000 4808.0 3687.0 4438.0 4320.0 1.01
alpha[2] 0.070 0.136 0.000 0.333 0.003 0.002 1737.0 1737.0 3199.0 2197.0 1.01
alpha[3] 0.610 0.673 0.000 1.784 0.020 0.014 1106.0 1106.0 1033.0 3618.0 1.02
alpha[4] 0.024 0.055 0.000 0.112 0.001 0.001 3352.0 3352.0 5587.0 3688.0 1.00
alpha[5] 0.016 0.040 0.000 0.073 0.001 0.001 1877.0 1372.0 3969.0 3416.0 1.01
ifr_noise[0] 1.004 0.099 0.820 1.185 0.001 0.001 5777.0 5777.0 5784.0 5314.0 1.00
ifr_noise[1] 1.005 0.100 0.820 1.193 0.001 0.001 4809.0 4809.0 4808.0 4862.0 1.00
ifr_noise[2] 1.000 0.100 0.813 1.187 0.001 0.001 6088.0 6088.0 6086.0 5171.0 1.00
ifr_noise[3] 0.997 0.100 0.813 1.185 0.001 0.001 5424.0 5424.0 5423.0 5004.0 1.00
ifr_noise[4] 0.997 0.099 0.807 1.177 0.001 0.001 6297.0 6297.0 6290.0 4992.0 1.00
ifr_noise[5] 0.997 0.100 0.813 1.187 0.001 0.001 5486.0 5486.0 5484.0 5284.0 1.00
ifr_noise[6] 0.998 0.099 0.811 1.183 0.001 0.001 5494.0 5494.0 5493.0 5067.0 1.00
ifr_noise[7] 1.012 0.100 0.829 1.203 0.001 0.001 4819.0 4819.0 4845.0 4811.0 1.00
ifr_noise[8] 0.995 0.100 0.807 1.183 0.001 0.001 6263.0 6263.0 6262.0 4850.0 1.00
ifr_noise[9] 0.999 0.099 0.815 1.184 0.001 0.001 5461.0 5461.0 5465.0 5059.0 1.00
ifr_noise[10] 1.005 0.098 0.827 1.200 0.001 0.001 5347.0 5347.0 5352.0 5087.0 1.00