significare | sd | hpd_3% | hpd_97% | mcse_mean | mcse_sd | ess_mean | ess_sd | ess_bulk | ess_tail | r_hat | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
tau | 65.039 | 23.259 | 26.814 | 108.761 | 0,787 | 0,557 | 872.0 | 872.0 | 707.0 | 765.0 | 1.03 |
initial_cases[0] | 99,807 | 50.092 | 15.689 | 189.582 | 1.370 | 0,969 | 1336,0 | 1336,0 | 809.0 | 683.0 | 1.03 |
casi_iniziali[1] | 105.279 | 53.883 | 18.242 | 199.864 | 1.732 | 1.225 | 968.0 | 968.0 | 641.0 | 1132.0 | 1.04 |
casi_iniziali[2] | 63.621 | 34.457 | 11.055 | 126.488 | 0,768 | 0,543 | 2013.0 | 2013.0 | 1573.0 | 1120.0 | 1.02 |
casi_iniziali[3] | 44.506 | 21.851 | 11.258 | 85.150 | 0.741 | 0,524 | 868.0 | 868.0 | 770.0 | 1837,0 | 1.03 |
casi_iniziali[4] | 42.208 | 24.220 | 5.624 | 84.947 | 0,760 | 0,538 | 1015.0 | 1015.0 | 668.0 | 1143.0 | 1.03 |
casi_iniziali[5] | 60.160 | 26.771 | 15.874 | 107.703 | 0,922 | 0,652 | 844.0 | 844.0 | 662.0 | 1509.0 | 1.04 |
casi_iniziali[6] | 41.959 | 29.708 | 5.255 | 93.510 | 0,599 | 0,439 | 2460.0 | 2285.0 | 2342.0 | 2818,0 | 1.01 |
casi_iniziali[7] | 122.022 | 70.254 | 21.910 | 254.034 | 3.118 | 2.206 | 508.0 | 508.0 | 475.0 | 1479.0 | 1.05 |
casi_iniziali[8] | 33.892 | 20.355 | 4.923 | 70.586 | 0,536 | 0,379 | 1443.0 | 1443.0 | 771.0 | 1581.0 | 1.03 |
casi_iniziali[9] | 36.607 | 21.015 | 4.098 | 72.495 | 0,489 | 0,346 | 1843.0 | 1843.0 | 1119.0 | 2092.0 | 1.02 |
casi_iniziali[10] | 81.963 | 38.106 | 19.723 | 150.441 | 1.147 | 0,811 | 1104.0 | 1104.0 | 694.0 | 726.0 | 1.03 |
psi | 5.064 | 0,892 | 3.488 | 6.787 | 0,017 | 0,012 | 2885.0 | 2814.0 | 3022.0 | 3699.0 | 1.01 |
kappa | 0,568 | 0.265 | 0,080 | 1.048 | 0,015 | 0,011 | 293.0 | 293.0 | 303.0 | 506.0 | 1.07 |
mu[0] | 3.567 | 0,564 | 2.594 | 4.645 | 0,027 | 0.020 | 434.0 | 384.0 | 611.0 | 660.0 | 1.04 |
mu[1] | 3.761 | 0,532 | 2.899 | 4.769 | 0,028 | 0,021 | 354.0 | 327.0 | 454.0 | 550.0 | 1.05 |
mu[2] | 3.389 | 0,510 | 2.490 | 4.445 | 0,016 | 0,012 | 1065.0 | 936.0 | 1336,0 | 990.0 | 1.02 |
mu[3] | 3.725 | 0,334 | 3.106 | 4.318 | 0,013 | 0.009 | 675.0 | 669.0 | 698.0 | 1486.0 | 1.04 |
mu[4] | 3.806 | 0,527 | 2.948 | 4.803 | 0,026 | 0,019 | 403.0 | 387,0 | 482.0 | 788.0 | 1.04 |
mu[5] | 3.445 | 0.273 | 2.951 | 3.962 | 0,012 | 0.009 | 503.0 | 496,0 | 543.0 | 1176.0 | 1.04 |
mu[6] | 3.218 | 0,554 | 2.135 | 4.284 | 0,013 | 0.009 | 1861.0 | 1761.0 | 2005,0 | 2123.0 | 1.02 |
ma[7] | 4.172 | 0,477 | 3.287 | 5.020 | 0,023 | 0,016 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 413.0 | 1258.0 | 1.05 |
mu[8] | 3.574 | 0,496 | 2.739 | 4.580 | 0.020 | 0,015 | 601.0 | 561.0 | 741.0 | 1046.0 | 1.03 |
ma[9] | 3.541 | 0,461 | 2.792 | 4.479 | 0,019 | 0,014 | 580.0 | 551.0 | 712.0 | 1409.0 | 1.03 |
mu[10] | 3.513 | 0,345 | 2.931 | 4.169 | 0,015 | 0,011 | 525.0 | 482.0 | 669.0 | 729,0 | 1.03 |
alfa[0] | 0,175 | 0.235 | 0.000 | 0,636 | 0.010 | 0.007 | 525.0 | 525.0 | 781.0 | 1100.0 | 1.04 |
alfa[1] | 0,015 | 0,035 | 0.000 | 0,073 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 4808.0 | 3687,0 | 4438.0 | 4320.0 | 1.01 |
alfa[2] | 0,070 | 0,136 | 0.000 | 0,333 | 0.003 | 0.002 | 1737,0 | 1737,0 | 3199.0 | 2197.0 | 1.01 |
alfa[3] | 0,610 | 0,673 | 0.000 | 1.784 | 0.020 | 0,014 | 1106.0 | 1106.0 | 1033.0 | 3618.0 | 1.02 |
alfa[4] | 0,024 | 0,055 | 0.000 | 0.112 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 3352.0 | 3352.0 | 5587,0 | 3688.0 | 1.00 |
alfa[5] | 0,016 | 0.040 | 0.000 | 0,073 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 1877.0 | 1372.0 | 3969,0 | 3416.0 | 1.01 |
ifr_noise[0] | 1.004 | 0,099 | 0,820 | 1.185 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 5777,0 | 5777,0 | 5784.0 | 5314.0 | 1.00 |
ifr_noise[1] | 1.005 | 0.100 | 0,820 | 1.193 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 4809.0 | 4809.0 | 4808.0 | 4862.0 | 1.00 |
ifr_noise[2] | 1.000 | 0.100 | 0,813 | 1.187 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 6088.0 | 6088.0 | 6086.0 | 5171.0 | 1.00 |
ifr_rumore[3] | 0,997 | 0.100 | 0,813 | 1.185 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 5424.0 | 5424.0 | 5423.0 | 5004.0 | 1.00 |
ifr_rumore[4] | 0,997 | 0,099 | 0,807 | 1.177 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 6297,0 | 6297,0 | 6290.0 | 4992.0 | 1.00 |
ifr_rumore[5] | 0,997 | 0.100 | 0,813 | 1.187 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 5486.0 | 5486.0 | 5484.0 | 5284.0 | 1.00 |
ifr_rumore[6] | 0,998 | 0,099 | 0,811 | 1.183 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 5494.0 | 5494.0 | 5493.0 | 5067,0 | 1.00 |
ifr_rumore[7] | 1.012 | 0.100 | 0,829 | 1.203 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 4819.0 | 4819.0 | 4845.0 | 4811.0 | 1.00 |
ifr_rumore[8] | 0,995 | 0.100 | 0,807 | 1.183 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 6263.0 | 6263.0 | 6262.0 | 4850.0 | 1.00 |
ifr_rumore[9] | 0,999 | 0,099 | 0,815 | 1.184 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 5461.0 | 5461.0 | 5465.0 | 5059.0 | 1.00 |
ifr_rumore[10] | 1.005 | 0,098 | 0,827 | 1.200 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 5347.0 | 5347.0 | 5352.0 | 5087,0 | 1.00 |